Projected President In 2024. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. As of october 2024, ballotpedia has identified four noteworthy presidential candidates:
Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.